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November 1, 2019

TDI Update

GCC TDI market still bearish; demand remains soft

Author: Izham Ahmad

2019/11/01

SINGAPORE (ICIS)–The Gulf Cooperation Council’s (GCC) spot toluene diisocyanate (TDI) import market is expected to remain in a bearish environment in coming weeks with no sign of any improvement in demand to provide relief.

In the week ended 31 October, spot import prices of TDI in the GCC were stable to soft at $1,550-1,600/tonne CFR (cost & freight), down by $20/tonne at the low end of the previous week’s price range, according to ICIS data.

The high end of the price range was unchanged because some key Asian suppliers were holding their offers to the GCC steady.

This week’s prices mark the lowest levels for TDI since March 2016.

ICIS Editorial Chart goes here

TDI and polyols are combined to produce mostly flexible foam products used in sofas,  mattresses and car seats. (Photo by Jonathan Perugia/Shutterstock)

 

“The lowest offers I heard were at $1,550/tonne (CFR GCC) this week,” said one market participant.

TDI prices in the GCC have been under broad downward pressure since March 2018 when they hit highs of $4,650/tonne CFR GCC.

The relentless downward price pressure has shown no signs of relief despite October being a typically strong demand season for TDI and other polyurethane (PU) component products.

The poor demand was largely attributed to sluggish economic growth, ongoing conflicts and geopolitical tensions in the region.

These have been aggravated by the prolonged US-China trade war, which has essentially dented demand for downstream foam products across Asia, especially China.

Supply has been increasing in recent years with Wanhua Chemical’s new 300,000 tonne/year TDI plant in Yantai, China; Sadara Chemical’s 200,000 tonne/year unit in Saudi Arabia; and BASF’s 300,000 tonnes/year plant in Ludwigshafen, Germany all coming on stream within the last three years.

Looking ahead, there were few signs that demand would improve before the year ends, market participants said.

Buyers in the GCC and the broader Middle East region have shown reluctance to confirm deals for large volume of material, fearing that prices would slide further even before they receive their orders.

“We are under pressure to get some sales but even many of our buyers have withdrawn their deals,” said one TDI supplier.

Focus article by Izham Ahmad

https://www.icis.com/explore/resources/news/2019/11/01/10438373/gcc-tdi-market-still-bearish-demand-remains-soft?cmpid=SOC%7CRSS%7Ctwitter%7CFreeChemNewsFeed

Scott Thompson

Thank you, Aubrey. Good morning, and thank you for joining us on our 2019 third quarter earnings call. I’ll start with comments on the quarter’s operating performance, then Bhaskar will review our financial performance in detail. Finally, I will conclude with an overview of our long-term corporate initiatives and some thoughts on capital allocation and current trends.

The third quarter of 2019 was outstanding, with growth across all three of our regions. North America, Europe and Asia-Pacific. In fact, this quarter was the best quarter in the company’s history.

We’re pleased to report as compared to last year, sales and earnings grew double-digit. Our leverage growth declined, and we repurchased 50 million of common stock during the quarter. We had a strong conversion to cash and there were no one-time adjustments in EBITDA.

Turning to the reported results for the quarter. Net sales increased 13%, adjusted EBITDA increased 17% and adjusted EPS increased a very robust 28%. This marks the sixth consecutive quarter of adjusted EPS growth. The positive results were broad based, with brand, channel and geographic perspective demonstrating the strength of the company’s competitive position around the world.

The last few quarters demonstrate our ability to navigate regional economic uncertainty and take advantage of the changing bedding market. In North America, we are excited to start our new relationship with Big Lots and Mattress Firm. During this quarter, we completed the rollout of Sealy products at Big Lots and subsequent to the end of the quarter we began shipping products to Mattress Firm.

During the third quarter, these accounts did not contribute to earnings, and in fact we experienced 5 million of inefficiencies as we ramped up staffing for our new business and expanded our quality control procedures, both new accounts are expected to positively impact our operations starting in the fourth quarter of 2019.

I’d like to highlight three items from our third quarter results. First, as I mentioned, global net sales grew 13% for the third quarter versus the prior period with broad base increases in demand, above our expectations for both Tempur-Pedic and Sealy all around the world.

Looking internationally, net sales grew 8% on a constant currency basis. We experienced a degree of market uncertainty in the U.K. France, Hong Kong, and China, which created choppy business conditions. Despite these countries specific issues, the international team delivered a solid performance.

In North America, we grew sales a robust 15% in the quarter, with both Tempur-Pedic and Sealy growing double-digits. As a reminder, this quarter had no new products and no significant changes in distribution for the Tempur-Pedic brand.

Rollout of the new Tempur-Pedic product lines were complete in the second quarter, and new significant distribution gains for Tempur-Pedic start shipping in the fourth quarter of 2019. We believe Tempur-Pedic continues to take market share in the premium price band. I should also note that we improved our product mix as our high end TEMPUR-Breeze products continued to gain momentum.

Turning to Sealy’s performance in North America, we are very pleased to see continued sales momentum, while at the same time we also successfully expanded our distribution. The combination resulted in outstanding sales growth in the quarter. Our focus on internal initiatives to deliver the highest quality product and the highest level of manufacturing reliability and customer service continues to be the reason that existing retailers lean into our portfolio of products.

We also believe the recently enacted anti-dumping case duties against China manufacturing benefited all U.S. bedding manufacturers. Our North America operation team has evaluated our near, and long term opportunities with Sealy and Stearns & Foster. The results of which are that we expect to open one new state of the art Sealy plant in Texas in late 2020. Although we currently have adequate capacity to serve the market, we believe, we have long term upside in these brands, and this plant will support our higher volume of units we expect across the U.S. network.

The second highlight from the quarter was the over 60% growth in our global direct channel. International direct grew 21% on a constant currency basis, with growth both in e-commerce business and our company owned stores. In North America, the direct channel almost doubled year-over-year and grew over 30% excluding the acquired Sleep Outfitters stores.

We opened our 50th Tempur-Pedic retail store during the quarter, and we expect to open a handful more by the end of the year. As we said previously, we can see the Tempur-Pedic retail stores over the long term being 125 stores to 150 store opportunity. Stores open more than a year had very strong same-store sales at over 20%. It’s worth noting that same store sales growth does not include our e-commerce channel.

Our direct-to-consumer online channel also had solid double-digit growth. It is clear that our direct-to-consumer business is significantly outperforming the average disruptor brand in the U.S. market, both in sales growth, and more importantly in real, sustainable profits and cash flow.

The third highlight for the quarter is it reported the highest quarterly gross profit in the company’s history at $361 million. The cumulative growth from our direct channel, a higher product mix due to the success of our premium price, Tempur-Pedic and Stearns & Foster products and unit volume increases resulted in gross margin leverage. This quarter’s reported gross profit is greater than the gross profit we generated back in 2016, when we had higher total sales, and are bedding products were sold through a greater number of third party retail doors, including Mattress Firm.

Over the past few years, we’ve developed new innovative products, invested in our operations, and diversified our go-to-market strategy, all to deliver healthy gross margin expansion and broad based sales growth.

Our competitive position has never been stronger. On top of this momentum, we are thrilled to have improved our wholesale distribution in North America, by recently entering into a new win-win supply agreement with Mattress Firm, which we believe will benefit both companies and the U.S. bedding business as a whole.

Before turning the call over to Bhaskar, I want to mention that two members of our executive team will be taking on new reduced roles starting in 2020, as they transition towards retirement. Rick Anderson, EVP, President in North America, and Carmen Dabiero, SVP of Human Resource.

I want to thank them for their many years of contribution to Tempur Sealy. We’ve been preparing for these transitions for several years, and I’m very confident in our succession plan. Both executives have built a strong team; an internal leadership is in place to ensure continued performance.

With that I’ll turn the call over to Bhaskar to walk you through the financial results in more detail.

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4301024-tempur-sealy-international-inc-tpx-ceo-scott-thompson-q3-2019-results-earnings-call?part=single

Scott Thompson

Thank you, Aubrey. Good morning, and thank you for joining us on our 2019 third quarter earnings call. I’ll start with comments on the quarter’s operating performance, then Bhaskar will review our financial performance in detail. Finally, I will conclude with an overview of our long-term corporate initiatives and some thoughts on capital allocation and current trends.

The third quarter of 2019 was outstanding, with growth across all three of our regions. North America, Europe and Asia-Pacific. In fact, this quarter was the best quarter in the company’s history.

We’re pleased to report as compared to last year, sales and earnings grew double-digit. Our leverage growth declined, and we repurchased 50 million of common stock during the quarter. We had a strong conversion to cash and there were no one-time adjustments in EBITDA.

Turning to the reported results for the quarter. Net sales increased 13%, adjusted EBITDA increased 17% and adjusted EPS increased a very robust 28%. This marks the sixth consecutive quarter of adjusted EPS growth. The positive results were broad based, with brand, channel and geographic perspective demonstrating the strength of the company’s competitive position around the world.

The last few quarters demonstrate our ability to navigate regional economic uncertainty and take advantage of the changing bedding market. In North America, we are excited to start our new relationship with Big Lots and Mattress Firm. During this quarter, we completed the rollout of Sealy products at Big Lots and subsequent to the end of the quarter we began shipping products to Mattress Firm.

During the third quarter, these accounts did not contribute to earnings, and in fact we experienced 5 million of inefficiencies as we ramped up staffing for our new business and expanded our quality control procedures, both new accounts are expected to positively impact our operations starting in the fourth quarter of 2019.

I’d like to highlight three items from our third quarter results. First, as I mentioned, global net sales grew 13% for the third quarter versus the prior period with broad base increases in demand, above our expectations for both Tempur-Pedic and Sealy all around the world.

Looking internationally, net sales grew 8% on a constant currency basis. We experienced a degree of market uncertainty in the U.K. France, Hong Kong, and China, which created choppy business conditions. Despite these countries specific issues, the international team delivered a solid performance.

In North America, we grew sales a robust 15% in the quarter, with both Tempur-Pedic and Sealy growing double-digits. As a reminder, this quarter had no new products and no significant changes in distribution for the Tempur-Pedic brand.

Rollout of the new Tempur-Pedic product lines were complete in the second quarter, and new significant distribution gains for Tempur-Pedic start shipping in the fourth quarter of 2019. We believe Tempur-Pedic continues to take market share in the premium price band. I should also note that we improved our product mix as our high end TEMPUR-Breeze products continued to gain momentum.

Turning to Sealy’s performance in North America, we are very pleased to see continued sales momentum, while at the same time we also successfully expanded our distribution. The combination resulted in outstanding sales growth in the quarter. Our focus on internal initiatives to deliver the highest quality product and the highest level of manufacturing reliability and customer service continues to be the reason that existing retailers lean into our portfolio of products.

We also believe the recently enacted anti-dumping case duties against China manufacturing benefited all U.S. bedding manufacturers. Our North America operation team has evaluated our near, and long term opportunities with Sealy and Stearns & Foster. The results of which are that we expect to open one new state of the art Sealy plant in Texas in late 2020. Although we currently have adequate capacity to serve the market, we believe, we have long term upside in these brands, and this plant will support our higher volume of units we expect across the U.S. network.

The second highlight from the quarter was the over 60% growth in our global direct channel. International direct grew 21% on a constant currency basis, with growth both in e-commerce business and our company owned stores. In North America, the direct channel almost doubled year-over-year and grew over 30% excluding the acquired Sleep Outfitters stores.

We opened our 50th Tempur-Pedic retail store during the quarter, and we expect to open a handful more by the end of the year. As we said previously, we can see the Tempur-Pedic retail stores over the long term being 125 stores to 150 store opportunity. Stores open more than a year had very strong same-store sales at over 20%. It’s worth noting that same store sales growth does not include our e-commerce channel.

Our direct-to-consumer online channel also had solid double-digit growth. It is clear that our direct-to-consumer business is significantly outperforming the average disruptor brand in the U.S. market, both in sales growth, and more importantly in real, sustainable profits and cash flow.

The third highlight for the quarter is it reported the highest quarterly gross profit in the company’s history at $361 million. The cumulative growth from our direct channel, a higher product mix due to the success of our premium price, Tempur-Pedic and Stearns & Foster products and unit volume increases resulted in gross margin leverage. This quarter’s reported gross profit is greater than the gross profit we generated back in 2016, when we had higher total sales, and are bedding products were sold through a greater number of third party retail doors, including Mattress Firm.

Over the past few years, we’ve developed new innovative products, invested in our operations, and diversified our go-to-market strategy, all to deliver healthy gross margin expansion and broad based sales growth.

Our competitive position has never been stronger. On top of this momentum, we are thrilled to have improved our wholesale distribution in North America, by recently entering into a new win-win supply agreement with Mattress Firm, which we believe will benefit both companies and the U.S. bedding business as a whole.

Before turning the call over to Bhaskar, I want to mention that two members of our executive team will be taking on new reduced roles starting in 2020, as they transition towards retirement. Rick Anderson, EVP, President in North America, and Carmen Dabiero, SVP of Human Resource.

I want to thank them for their many years of contribution to Tempur Sealy. We’ve been preparing for these transitions for several years, and I’m very confident in our succession plan. Both executives have built a strong team; an internal leadership is in place to ensure continued performance.

With that I’ll turn the call over to Bhaskar to walk you through the financial results in more detail.

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4301024-tempur-sealy-international-inc-tpx-ceo-scott-thompson-q3-2019-results-earnings-call?part=single

November 1, 2019

Recticel Q3 Results

Recticel Trading update 3rd quarter 2019

 

  • Combined 3Q sales: from EUR 313.9 million to EUR 293.6 million (-6.5%)
  • Combined year-to-date 9M sales: from EUR 996.6 million to EUR 924.1 million (-7.3%)
  • Total Combined net financial debt: EUR 237.2 million, including the impact of IFRS 16 (30 June 2019: EUR 261.3 million)

 

Olivier Chapelle (CEO): “Our topline has decreased by 6.5% during the 3rd quarter of 2019, influenced by receding Automotive and Comfort markets and by selling price erosion as a consequence of the isocyanates raw material cost decrease. We are pleased that our Bedding division has confirmed its return to growth. While the volumes have remained strong in the Insulation division, intense price competition continues to weigh on the margins.

Our net financial debt continues to substantially decrease, and we further actively pursue the optimisation of our overhead and operating cost structures in anticipation of a less favourable economic environment.

The Automotive Interiors divestment process is progressing, and we expect the outcome to be announced around the year-end.

 

OUTLOOK

The economic and geopolitical environment remains highly volatile and increasingly uncertain. Taking into account the lower than expected margin improvement in the Insulation activities, when compared to the first half of the year, we anticipate our 2019 full year Adjusted EBITDA to be 5% to 10% below 2018 on a like-for-like basis. Recticel is in a strong financial position and has demonstrated its ability to adapt to rapidly changing market conditions.

https://www.recticel.com/?press-release=898113

November 1, 2019

Recticel Q3 Results

Recticel Trading update 3rd quarter 2019

 

  • Combined 3Q sales: from EUR 313.9 million to EUR 293.6 million (-6.5%)
  • Combined year-to-date 9M sales: from EUR 996.6 million to EUR 924.1 million (-7.3%)
  • Total Combined net financial debt: EUR 237.2 million, including the impact of IFRS 16 (30 June 2019: EUR 261.3 million)

 

Olivier Chapelle (CEO): “Our topline has decreased by 6.5% during the 3rd quarter of 2019, influenced by receding Automotive and Comfort markets and by selling price erosion as a consequence of the isocyanates raw material cost decrease. We are pleased that our Bedding division has confirmed its return to growth. While the volumes have remained strong in the Insulation division, intense price competition continues to weigh on the margins.

Our net financial debt continues to substantially decrease, and we further actively pursue the optimisation of our overhead and operating cost structures in anticipation of a less favourable economic environment.

The Automotive Interiors divestment process is progressing, and we expect the outcome to be announced around the year-end.

 

OUTLOOK

The economic and geopolitical environment remains highly volatile and increasingly uncertain. Taking into account the lower than expected margin improvement in the Insulation activities, when compared to the first half of the year, we anticipate our 2019 full year Adjusted EBITDA to be 5% to 10% below 2018 on a like-for-like basis. Recticel is in a strong financial position and has demonstrated its ability to adapt to rapidly changing market conditions.

https://www.recticel.com/?press-release=898113