Asian Markets
July 22, 2020
China Wind Power Subsidies
China Boosts Renewable Power Subsidies 7.5% to $13 Billion
(Bloomberg) — China boosted its budget for renewable power subsidies to 92.36 billion yuan ($13 billion), 7.5% more than it spent last year.
Solar power is the big winner, with incentives set to rise 14% compared to last year’s level, while wind payments will be 3.2% lower, the Ministry of Finance said on its website on Wednesday. The subsidy budget would cover existing projects plus any new developments that meet eligibility criteria. © Bloomberg China Renewable Subsidies
Solar’s allocation was higher than expected, which is “positive for both the photovoltaic equipment value chain as well as solar farm operators,” said Tony Fei, an analyst at BOCI Research Ltd. in Hong Kong. But “wind farm operators might see a slight marginal decline in subsidies for existing projects.”
Solar projects will get 42.84 billion yuan, while wind will get 35.69 billion. The remainder of the budget is for biomass power and funding to local governments for grid companies.
Applications for new solar power projects that will compete for national subsidies rose 36% to 33.5 gigawatts in 2020, the National Renewable Energy Information Management Center said separately. Last year China decided to subsidize 22.8 gigawatts of the 24.6 that were submitted.
Last year China spent 85.92 billion yuan total on renewable subsidies. The payments are financed by a surcharge on electricity bills.
Even with the increased budget, there won’t be enough money to go around, said Robin Xiao, an analyst at CMB International Securities Ltd.
China has subsidized renewable energy for years, which allowed it to add more capacity than anywhere else in the world. Based on the subsidized tariffs it offered, and the amount of power expected to be produced, the total bill for renewable subsidies should be about 200 billion yuan this year, Xiao said.
Most of China’s renewables are developed by state-owned firms, but that gap between subsidies owed and paid has hurt valuations of companies traded publicly outside mainland China. China Datang Corp. Renewable Power Co. and China Longyuan Power Group Corp. trade below their book value in Hong Kong, in part because they are owed so much by the government, according to Xiao.
The government is also trying to reduce the number of new projects that are eligible for subsidies, as it wants them to be able to compete against dominant coal power on price alone. Subsidies for onshore wind will be phased out after this year, with offshore wind following from 2022.
July 22, 2020
China Update
INSIGHT: China petrochemical demand stays weak; supply to increase near term
Author: Yvonne Shi
2020/07/22
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s overall petrochemical demand has weakened in July while supply is projected to increase, dimming the market outlook in the near term.
Inventories of major chemicals such as benzene, polyolefins, ethylene glycol, acetone and toluene all posted increases in the week ended 17 July, according to ICIS data.
Softer demand was reflected in spot market prices as tracked by the ICIS China Petrochemical Index. The index fell to 877 on 17 July, down from 898 on 8 July, and lower than the June average of 888.6.
The index tracks movement of domestic prices of a wide array of organic and plastics products, including methanol, purified terephthalic acid (PTA), polypropylene (PP), polyethylene (PE), monoethylene glycol (MEG), mixed xylene, benzene, toluene, acetic acid, styrene, phenol, acrylonitrile, acetone, n-butanol, 2-ethylhexanol (2-EH), acrylic esters and propylene oxide (PO).
END-DEMAND STILL WEAK
Spot petrochemical purchases have slowed down due to a combination of recent price spikes, high stocks and poor end-demand.
For propylene oxide (PO), recent market gains have driven up prices of downstream polyether polyols, whose producers have had to struggle with limited margins due to inability to fully pass on increased costs to end-users.
Downstream sectors, such as automobile, furniture and fabrics, are still in the process of a slow recovery.
Producers of polybutylene terephtalate (PBT) – downstream of butanediol (BDO) – may have to reduce output, with end-users holding sufficient inventories less willing to purchase raw materials at increased prices.
For purified terephthalic acid (PTA), limited exports of downstream clothing and textiles hamper market gains although downstream polyester plants are running at high rates.
PTA inventory among producers and downstream end-users alike has remained high, while the government is trying to help out exporting companies survive by re-directing their products to the domestic market.
Polyolefin downstream manufacturers, meanwhile, are also currently holding large inventories of raw materials and products.
Buying of polypropylene (PP) turned more cautious after recent price gains, while some small downstream factories have halted operations due to high feedstock costs.
Demand for bisphenol-A (BPA) was hit as downstream polycarbonate (PC) producers cut output following heavy losses caused by poor end-demand and high feedstock prices.
Scheduled turnarounds at another major downstream – liquid epoxy resins (LER) – will also further weaken demand for BPA. The LER market, nonetheless, is relatively healthy on the back of government’s subsidy on its downstream wind power industry.
Petrochemical end-users in general are also hesitant to buy as new capacity coming on stream will boost domestic supply in the third quarter.
Read more here: https://www.icis.com/explore/resources/news/2020/07/22/10532442/insight-china-petrochemical-demand-stays-weak-supply-to-increase-near-term
July 22, 2020
China Update
INSIGHT: China petrochemical demand stays weak; supply to increase near term
Author: Yvonne Shi
2020/07/22
SINGAPORE (ICIS)–China’s overall petrochemical demand has weakened in July while supply is projected to increase, dimming the market outlook in the near term.
Inventories of major chemicals such as benzene, polyolefins, ethylene glycol, acetone and toluene all posted increases in the week ended 17 July, according to ICIS data.
Softer demand was reflected in spot market prices as tracked by the ICIS China Petrochemical Index. The index fell to 877 on 17 July, down from 898 on 8 July, and lower than the June average of 888.6.
The index tracks movement of domestic prices of a wide array of organic and plastics products, including methanol, purified terephthalic acid (PTA), polypropylene (PP), polyethylene (PE), monoethylene glycol (MEG), mixed xylene, benzene, toluene, acetic acid, styrene, phenol, acrylonitrile, acetone, n-butanol, 2-ethylhexanol (2-EH), acrylic esters and propylene oxide (PO).
END-DEMAND STILL WEAK
Spot petrochemical purchases have slowed down due to a combination of recent price spikes, high stocks and poor end-demand.
For propylene oxide (PO), recent market gains have driven up prices of downstream polyether polyols, whose producers have had to struggle with limited margins due to inability to fully pass on increased costs to end-users.
Downstream sectors, such as automobile, furniture and fabrics, are still in the process of a slow recovery.
Producers of polybutylene terephtalate (PBT) – downstream of butanediol (BDO) – may have to reduce output, with end-users holding sufficient inventories less willing to purchase raw materials at increased prices.
For purified terephthalic acid (PTA), limited exports of downstream clothing and textiles hamper market gains although downstream polyester plants are running at high rates.
PTA inventory among producers and downstream end-users alike has remained high, while the government is trying to help out exporting companies survive by re-directing their products to the domestic market.
Polyolefin downstream manufacturers, meanwhile, are also currently holding large inventories of raw materials and products.
Buying of polypropylene (PP) turned more cautious after recent price gains, while some small downstream factories have halted operations due to high feedstock costs.
Demand for bisphenol-A (BPA) was hit as downstream polycarbonate (PC) producers cut output following heavy losses caused by poor end-demand and high feedstock prices.
Scheduled turnarounds at another major downstream – liquid epoxy resins (LER) – will also further weaken demand for BPA. The LER market, nonetheless, is relatively healthy on the back of government’s subsidy on its downstream wind power industry.
Petrochemical end-users in general are also hesitant to buy as new capacity coming on stream will boost domestic supply in the third quarter.
Read more here: https://www.icis.com/explore/resources/news/2020/07/22/10532442/insight-china-petrochemical-demand-stays-weak-supply-to-increase-near-term
July 10, 2020
Chinese PDH Update
Average run rate at China’s PDH plants rises to 85% in June from 81% in May
Highlights
Two plants raise run rates after maintenance
Two plants lower run rates on technical glitches
Processing margin at 8-month high
Singapore — China’s propane dehydrogenation plants operated at an average rate of 85% of capacity in June, up from a revised average rate of 81% in May and also from 81% a year earlier, S&P Global Platts calculations based on data from domestic information provider JLC showed July 10.
The higher run rate in June was attributed mainly to two PDH plants raising run rates after maintenance in the month, although two other PDH plants lowered run rates due to technical glitches, according to JLC data.
Tianjin Bohai’s PDH unit in northern China doubled its run rate to 80% in June from 40% in May, the data showed, after a period of unstable operations in May, sources said.
Yantai Wanhua in eastern Shandong province raised its run rate to 50% in June from 39% in May after restarting from scheduled maintenance June 10, the data showed. The plant was shut over May 14-June 10 for scheduled maintenance, S&P Global Platts reported earlier.
However, Shaoxing Sanyuan and Ningbo Haiyue in eastern Zhejiang provice both lowered their operating rates in June due to technical glitches. Shaoxing Sanyuan experienced glitches over June 18-22 that lowered its average operating rate to 67% in June from 80% in May, while Ningbo Haiyue experienced technical glitches over June 25-27 that lowered its run rate in the month to 90% from 100% in May, the JLC data showed.
Dongguan Juzhengyuan has had its PDH plant shut for maintenance since July 5 that was expected to take around six weeks, sources said.
The JLC monthly survey covered nine Chinese PDH units with a combined propylene production capacity of 5.66 million mt/year, which can use up to 6.79 million mt/year of propane as feedstock at full capacity.
PROCESSING MARGINS WIDEN
Chinese PDH units’ theoretical processing margin was estimated at Yuan 1,708/mt ($241.11/mt) in June, up from Yuan 1,398/mt in May, and the highest since October 2019, Platts calculations showed. Market sources attributed the improving margins in June to a rise in domestic propylene prices in the month.
Saudi Aramco set its June contract price for propane at $350/mt FOB, up $10/mt month on month. Spot refrigerated propane cargoes on a delivered basis to East China averaged $324/mt in June, up from $307/mt inr May, Platts data showed.
Chinese PDH units typically secure half of their propane requirements under term contracts and the rest from the spot market. The average import cost for propane was estimated at Yuan 2,901/mt in June after taxes and fees, up Yuan 39/mt or 1.4% from May, the data showed.
Domestic propylene prices in East China, where most of the country’s PDH units are located, were estimated at Yuan 6,689/mt in June, up Yuan 357/mt or 5.6% from May, according to JLC data.
Downstream polypropylene sales were stable through June, with the run rate at Chinese PP plants remaining healthy at 85%-88% of capacity, according to sources.
Strong global demand for packaging and medical applications, including masks and protective gowns, continues to provide support to China’s PP market, Platts has reported.
July 10, 2020
Chinese PDH Update
Average run rate at China’s PDH plants rises to 85% in June from 81% in May
Highlights
Two plants raise run rates after maintenance
Two plants lower run rates on technical glitches
Processing margin at 8-month high
Singapore — China’s propane dehydrogenation plants operated at an average rate of 85% of capacity in June, up from a revised average rate of 81% in May and also from 81% a year earlier, S&P Global Platts calculations based on data from domestic information provider JLC showed July 10.
The higher run rate in June was attributed mainly to two PDH plants raising run rates after maintenance in the month, although two other PDH plants lowered run rates due to technical glitches, according to JLC data.
Tianjin Bohai’s PDH unit in northern China doubled its run rate to 80% in June from 40% in May, the data showed, after a period of unstable operations in May, sources said.
Yantai Wanhua in eastern Shandong province raised its run rate to 50% in June from 39% in May after restarting from scheduled maintenance June 10, the data showed. The plant was shut over May 14-June 10 for scheduled maintenance, S&P Global Platts reported earlier.
However, Shaoxing Sanyuan and Ningbo Haiyue in eastern Zhejiang provice both lowered their operating rates in June due to technical glitches. Shaoxing Sanyuan experienced glitches over June 18-22 that lowered its average operating rate to 67% in June from 80% in May, while Ningbo Haiyue experienced technical glitches over June 25-27 that lowered its run rate in the month to 90% from 100% in May, the JLC data showed.
Dongguan Juzhengyuan has had its PDH plant shut for maintenance since July 5 that was expected to take around six weeks, sources said.
The JLC monthly survey covered nine Chinese PDH units with a combined propylene production capacity of 5.66 million mt/year, which can use up to 6.79 million mt/year of propane as feedstock at full capacity.
PROCESSING MARGINS WIDEN
Chinese PDH units’ theoretical processing margin was estimated at Yuan 1,708/mt ($241.11/mt) in June, up from Yuan 1,398/mt in May, and the highest since October 2019, Platts calculations showed. Market sources attributed the improving margins in June to a rise in domestic propylene prices in the month.
Saudi Aramco set its June contract price for propane at $350/mt FOB, up $10/mt month on month. Spot refrigerated propane cargoes on a delivered basis to East China averaged $324/mt in June, up from $307/mt inr May, Platts data showed.
Chinese PDH units typically secure half of their propane requirements under term contracts and the rest from the spot market. The average import cost for propane was estimated at Yuan 2,901/mt in June after taxes and fees, up Yuan 39/mt or 1.4% from May, the data showed.
Domestic propylene prices in East China, where most of the country’s PDH units are located, were estimated at Yuan 6,689/mt in June, up Yuan 357/mt or 5.6% from May, according to JLC data.
Downstream polypropylene sales were stable through June, with the run rate at Chinese PP plants remaining healthy at 85%-88% of capacity, according to sources.
Strong global demand for packaging and medical applications, including masks and protective gowns, continues to provide support to China’s PP market, Platts has reported.