Asian Markets
January 21, 2019
China Railway to Europe
China’s Rail Freight Trips to Europe Mushroom, But Must Uncouple Subsidies
China’s Rail Freight Trips to Europe Mushroom, But Must Uncouple Subsidies (Yicai Global) Jan. 21 — The number of runs of the China Railway Express freight trains to Europe, which started in 2011, has risen rapidly with trade between China and Europe burgeoning.
Beijing-based China Railway Express ran 6,300 cargo trips to its western continental neighbor last year, an increase of 72 percent, official data show. However, the line must now become more market-oriented and less reliant on government handouts, insiders said.
The express ran 6,300 trips to Europe last year, almost equal to the total number of those from 2011 to 2017, with 2,690 returning trips in an over twofold rise from the previous year, per data from China Railway Group
Chengdu, Chongqing, Xi’an, Zhengzhou and Wuhan ran a total of 5,437 trips last year, making up more 80 percent of the nation’s total, while the number of trains in the western cities of Chengdu, Chongqing and Xi’an all topped 1,000.
The China Railway Express has made 12,000 freight trips thus far from 56 Chinese cities to 49 cities in 15 European countries.
Train trips to Europe ballooned last year with the Belt and Road Initiative and a fillip from local governments. The frequency of freight train runs is expected to grow by geometric progression in next three to five years, Li Muyuan, executive vice president and secretary general of the Intermodal Branch of China Communications and Transportation Association told Yicai Global.
Balancing Act
The national ratio of departing and returning trips last year was 3:2, whereas the ratio in Chongqing, Zhengzhou and Wuhan was more balanced.
Though 6,300 trips ran last year, the total transit scale was only equivalent to 600,000 twenty-foot equivalent units, which is insignificant compared with the 246 million TEU of China-Europe sea transport last year, Li added. Thus, the cross-continent express trains have much room for improvement.
Huge capital investments from local governments underpins the swift growth of express trains. It is common for governments to invest to build transit channels and logistics networks via infrastructure construction subsidies, but local subsidies now usually go to defray operating costs, Li told Yicai Global.
Several city governments are committed to attracting goods and expanding the transport scale of trains to Europe. Some have cut train cargo costs to make them lower than sea freight to gain price advantages. The risk of this can be very great, however.
It has led to subsidy dependence for the major domestic and international operators of the China Railway Express, Li told Yicai Global, adding operations will be unsustainable once subsidies fall by the way.
The government should clearly manage subsidies and evaluate their effects, she said.
China Railway Express would not survive without subsidies, which help operators to do business until attaining business efficiency of a certain scale, Wang Guowen, director of the Logistics and Supply Chain Management Institute of the China Development Institute, told Yicai Global. China Railway Express is now developing in a balanced manner.
Weaning Off Handouts
Government subsidies need not be completely eliminated but can be reduced in the future like other subsidies with gradual adjustments and reductions, Wang believes.
The success of China-Europe express depends on whether it promotes regional economic industrial clusters, Wang said, adding that competition between cities is not about the number of trains. If so, this would only be a difference in financial resources, which are ultimately limited.
The key is to form a market-oriented model for China Railway Express’ operation as soon as possible to lead the next stage of the development process and the local industry transformation and upgrading, Wang added.
Editor: Ben Armour
https://yicaiglobal.com/news/china-rail-freight-trips-to-europe-mushroom-but-must-uncouple-subsidies
January 21, 2019
China Railway to Europe
China’s Rail Freight Trips to Europe Mushroom, But Must Uncouple Subsidies
China’s Rail Freight Trips to Europe Mushroom, But Must Uncouple Subsidies (Yicai Global) Jan. 21 — The number of runs of the China Railway Express freight trains to Europe, which started in 2011, has risen rapidly with trade between China and Europe burgeoning.
Beijing-based China Railway Express ran 6,300 cargo trips to its western continental neighbor last year, an increase of 72 percent, official data show. However, the line must now become more market-oriented and less reliant on government handouts, insiders said.
The express ran 6,300 trips to Europe last year, almost equal to the total number of those from 2011 to 2017, with 2,690 returning trips in an over twofold rise from the previous year, per data from China Railway Group
Chengdu, Chongqing, Xi’an, Zhengzhou and Wuhan ran a total of 5,437 trips last year, making up more 80 percent of the nation’s total, while the number of trains in the western cities of Chengdu, Chongqing and Xi’an all topped 1,000.
The China Railway Express has made 12,000 freight trips thus far from 56 Chinese cities to 49 cities in 15 European countries.
Train trips to Europe ballooned last year with the Belt and Road Initiative and a fillip from local governments. The frequency of freight train runs is expected to grow by geometric progression in next three to five years, Li Muyuan, executive vice president and secretary general of the Intermodal Branch of China Communications and Transportation Association told Yicai Global.
Balancing Act
The national ratio of departing and returning trips last year was 3:2, whereas the ratio in Chongqing, Zhengzhou and Wuhan was more balanced.
Though 6,300 trips ran last year, the total transit scale was only equivalent to 600,000 twenty-foot equivalent units, which is insignificant compared with the 246 million TEU of China-Europe sea transport last year, Li added. Thus, the cross-continent express trains have much room for improvement.
Huge capital investments from local governments underpins the swift growth of express trains. It is common for governments to invest to build transit channels and logistics networks via infrastructure construction subsidies, but local subsidies now usually go to defray operating costs, Li told Yicai Global.
Several city governments are committed to attracting goods and expanding the transport scale of trains to Europe. Some have cut train cargo costs to make them lower than sea freight to gain price advantages. The risk of this can be very great, however.
It has led to subsidy dependence for the major domestic and international operators of the China Railway Express, Li told Yicai Global, adding operations will be unsustainable once subsidies fall by the way.
The government should clearly manage subsidies and evaluate their effects, she said.
China Railway Express would not survive without subsidies, which help operators to do business until attaining business efficiency of a certain scale, Wang Guowen, director of the Logistics and Supply Chain Management Institute of the China Development Institute, told Yicai Global. China Railway Express is now developing in a balanced manner.
Weaning Off Handouts
Government subsidies need not be completely eliminated but can be reduced in the future like other subsidies with gradual adjustments and reductions, Wang believes.
The success of China-Europe express depends on whether it promotes regional economic industrial clusters, Wang said, adding that competition between cities is not about the number of trains. If so, this would only be a difference in financial resources, which are ultimately limited.
The key is to form a market-oriented model for China Railway Express’ operation as soon as possible to lead the next stage of the development process and the local industry transformation and upgrading, Wang added.
Editor: Ben Armour
https://yicaiglobal.com/news/china-rail-freight-trips-to-europe-mushroom-but-must-uncouple-subsidies
January 11, 2019
TDI Overview in China
PUdaily, Shanghai– 1. China’s TDI imports and exports in 2018

According to China Customs, China’s TDI imports totalled 52,457 tons for the January-October period. The volume of TDI imports for the full year is estimated to reach 62,949 tons, increasing by 20,122 tons from last year, or 47%. South Korea and Saudi Arabia make the biggest contribution to the growth. For the January-October period, China’s TDI exports amounted to 73,391 tons. The volume of TDI exports for the full year is estimated to reach 88,068 tons, decreasing by 36,097 tons from prior year, or 29%. The decrease is mainly due to the manufacturers’ limited willingness to export their products thanks to the high domestic prices.
2. Imports from main import sources in 2017 and 2018

South Korea remained the biggest source for China’s TDI imports, accounting for around 58% of its total TDI imports. With the start-up of Sadara’s facilities, China’s imports from Saudi Arabia rose to 14,000 tons. The figure is likely to continue rising in 2019. In 2018, Saudi Arabia accounted for about 23% of China’s TDI total imports.
3. Exports from China’s TDI exporters in 2017 and 2018

Covestro remained China’s biggest TDI exporter. Its export volume for 2018 is estimated to reach around 62,000 tons, down by 37.7% and accounting for about 70% of China’s total TDI exports. At the same time, thanks to the high domestic prices, other manufacturers also saw moderate volume of exports. They exported a total of 261.7 million tons in 2018, up by 1,463 tons, or 6%.
http://www.pudaily.com/News/NewsView.aspx?nid=75613
January 11, 2019
TDI Overview in China
PUdaily, Shanghai– 1. China’s TDI imports and exports in 2018

According to China Customs, China’s TDI imports totalled 52,457 tons for the January-October period. The volume of TDI imports for the full year is estimated to reach 62,949 tons, increasing by 20,122 tons from last year, or 47%. South Korea and Saudi Arabia make the biggest contribution to the growth. For the January-October period, China’s TDI exports amounted to 73,391 tons. The volume of TDI exports for the full year is estimated to reach 88,068 tons, decreasing by 36,097 tons from prior year, or 29%. The decrease is mainly due to the manufacturers’ limited willingness to export their products thanks to the high domestic prices.
2. Imports from main import sources in 2017 and 2018

South Korea remained the biggest source for China’s TDI imports, accounting for around 58% of its total TDI imports. With the start-up of Sadara’s facilities, China’s imports from Saudi Arabia rose to 14,000 tons. The figure is likely to continue rising in 2019. In 2018, Saudi Arabia accounted for about 23% of China’s TDI total imports.
3. Exports from China’s TDI exporters in 2017 and 2018

Covestro remained China’s biggest TDI exporter. Its export volume for 2018 is estimated to reach around 62,000 tons, down by 37.7% and accounting for about 70% of China’s total TDI exports. At the same time, thanks to the high domestic prices, other manufacturers also saw moderate volume of exports. They exported a total of 261.7 million tons in 2018, up by 1,463 tons, or 6%.
http://www.pudaily.com/News/NewsView.aspx?nid=75613
December 27, 2018
Chinese TDI Update
TDI Supply and Demand Overview in China in 2018
2018-12-26 [Source:PUdaily]
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PUdaily, Shanghai– 1. TDI supply and demand in China for the first three quarters
According to PUdaily, the output of TDI in China for the first three quarters amounted to about 660,000 tons. By contrast, the actual consumption for this period stood at about 610,000 tons, or a quarterly average consumption of around 204,000 tons. In Q4, due to Covestro’s one-and-a-half- month maintenance domestic TDI supply amounted to about 185,000 tons. Plus the social inventory at the end of the third quarter, the domestic supply and demand are largely in balance. Based on the figure for the first three quarters, PUdaily estimates that TDI consumption for the full year will reach 780,000 tons, up 3-4% year over year.
In terms of the downstream furniture sector, according to www.askci.com, 27.88 million pieces of upholstered furniture were produced in the first half of this year, up about 3% year on year. In the second half, when the peak season for the sector will come, the production is expected to rise by more than 3%. By contrast, the output increased by 10.2% in 2017. When it comes to the car sector, According to the statistics of China Association of Automobile Manufactures, China’s car output and sales for the first three quarters totalled 20.4913 million and 20.4906 million units, up 0.87% and 1.49% year over year, compared with 3.2% and 3.0% for the same period last year. The sluggish demands from end-use sectors lead to the drop in TDI price.
2. New TDI capacities in China
Domestic new TDI capacities had not come onstream as scheduled by the start of December. Thus, the main TDI producers in China are still Covestro, BASF, Cangzhou Dahua, Gansu Yinguang Chemical, Fujian Petrochemical Industrial and Yantai Juli, with their combined output staying at 840,000 tons/year.
As for domestic new capacities, Wanhua’s 300k t/a TDI integrated plant is undergoing debugging. Huludao Lianshi Chemicals’ 50k t/a facility conducted successful trial production last week. Xinjiang Heshan Juli Chemical’s 150k t/a TDI facility is scheduled to come onstream around the middle of next year. In addition, Fujian Petrochemical Industrial plans to build a 150k t/a facility in 2019. Then it will expand the capacity of the existing facility from 100,000 tons/year to 150,000 tons/year. Thus, the producer’s total capacity will reach 300,000 tons/year. It can be seen that the coming years will see a lot of new capacities. Against this backdrop, the slowing growth in demand will result in fiercer competition.
Forecast of TDI supply and demand for 2019
| New capacities to Come | Capacity (in 10k tons/year) | On-stream date |
| Wanhua Chemical | 300 | December, 2018 |
| Huludao Lianshi Chemicals | 50 | December, 2018 |
| Xinjiang Heshan Juli Chemical | 150 | The middle of 2019 |
| Total new capacity for 2019 | 500 | |
| Capacity for 2018 | 840 | |
| Total capacity for 2019 | 1,340 | |
| Estimated consumption for 2019 | 839 | |
| Excess capacity | 501 | |
| Conclusion | Excess capacity and intensified competition | |
http://www.pudaily.com/News/NewsView.aspx?nid=75459